SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 76.71%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.34%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
76.71% ( 0.18) | 14.76% ( -0.09) | 8.53% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.14) | 36.03% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.15) | 58.13% ( -0.15) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.26% ( 0.07) | 7.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.45% ( 0.18) | 27.55% ( -0.18) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.14% ( -0.11) | 47.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.88% ( -0.08) | 83.12% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 2-0 @ 12.12% 3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 76.7% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.76% | 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 8.53% |
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