SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
26.43% ( -0) | 22.52% ( -0) | 51.05% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( 0) | 38.52% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( 0) | 60.82% ( -0) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( 0) | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% | 62.8% ( 0) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0) | 15.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.01) | 44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.05% |
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