SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
70.37% ( 0.03) | 18.05% ( -0.02) | 11.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( 0.05) | 42.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.04) | 64.62% ( -0.05) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.21% ( 0.02) | 10.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.2% ( 0.04) | 34.8% ( -0.04) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.01) | 45.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.3% ( 0.01) | 81.69% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 2-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.36% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.05% | 0-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.58% |
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