SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dnepr Mogilev in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
28.23% ( -0.15) | 22.96% ( 0.04) | 48.81% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.31) | 39.2% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.47% ( -0.32) | 61.53% ( 0.32) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.26) | 26.44% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( -0.35) | 61.61% ( 0.34) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( -0.08) | 16.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( -0.14) | 45.91% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.81% |
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