SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
62.21% ( 0.06) | 22.18% ( 0.06) | 15.6% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.44) | 51.06% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( -0.38) | 72.91% ( 0.38) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( -0.13) | 15.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.87% ( -0.24) | 45.12% ( 0.23) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.42) | 45.29% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.83% ( -0.34) | 81.16% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 15.6% |
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