SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
56.47% ( 0.05) | 22.4% ( -0.01) | 21.13% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0) | 43.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( -0) | 66.07% ( 0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.02) | 15.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% ( 0.03) | 43.98% ( -0.02) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.03) | 34.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( -0.04) | 71.33% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.47% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.13% |
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