SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
59.07% ( -0.17) | 21.68% ( 0.05) | 19.26% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.01) | 43.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.01) | 65.42% ( 0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.05) | 14.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.04% ( -0.11) | 41.96% ( 0.11) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% ( 0.13) | 36.12% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( 0.13) | 72.9% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.67% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.26% |
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