SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
62.26% ( 0.3) | 21.18% ( -0.14) | 16.57% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.35) | 45.24% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( 0.33) | 67.58% ( -0.33) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.2) | 13.96% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.56% ( 0.4) | 41.44% ( -0.39) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.02) | 40.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( 0.02) | 77.13% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 62.24% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.18% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.57% |
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