SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | The New Saints |
35.21% ( -0) | 24.56% ( -0) | 40.22% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( 0) | 43.8% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( 0) | 66.19% ( -0) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0) | 24.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -0) | 58.81% ( 0) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 0) | 21.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( 0) | 54.99% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.22% |
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