SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for The New Saints in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
35.13% ( 0.02) | 22.94% ( 0) | 41.93% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.02) | 35.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.02) | 57.98% ( 0.02) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 0) | 20.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( 0) | 53.46% ( -0) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.02) | 17.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.66% ( -0.03) | 48.34% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 5% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 4% Total : 41.93% |
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