SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
20.84% ( -2.68) | 22.82% ( -1.4) | 56.34% ( 4.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 2.93) | 45.89% ( -2.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( 2.72) | 68.2% ( -2.72) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( -0.9) | 36.14% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0.92) | 72.92% ( 0.93) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 2.56) | 16.09% ( -2.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.52% ( 4.48) | 45.48% ( -4.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.94) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.84% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.7) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.76)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.6)0-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.72)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.48)0-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.52)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.21)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.24)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.34% |
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