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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
DL

Sheff Utd
1 - 0
Derby

Hamer (53')
Souza (38'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moore (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Warne (0'), Cashin (50'), Elder (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Derby County

Derby County certainly have cause for optimism following their start to the campaign and back-to-back wins, but they face a stern test away at a Sheffield United side who have quickly found their groove at both ends of the pitch. With home advantage and momentum building, we see the Blades having too much quality on Saturday and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
28.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 47.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)65.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)63.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (0.053999999999995 0.05)49.34% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 28.65%
    Derby County 47.52%
    Draw 23.84%
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Watford
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 QPR
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, August 13 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Derby (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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