Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.