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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bramall Lane
DL

Sheff Utd
2 - 1
Derby

Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sibley (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
43.8%29.08%27.12%
Both teams to score 42.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.14%63.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.91%83.09%
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35%65%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58%40.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96%77.03%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 43.79%
    Derby County 27.12%
    Draw 29.07%
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 14.51%
2-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 8.12%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 27.12%

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