SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
29.44% ( 0.04) | 25.54% ( 0.01) | 45.02% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.03) | 50.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.02) | 72.01% ( 0.03) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( 0.01) | 31.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( 0.01) | 67.45% ( -0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.03) | 22.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( -0.05) | 55.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.44% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.02% |
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