Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield United in this match.
