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B
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
DL

Barrow
0 - 0
Derby

Barrow win 3-2 on penalties
 
FT

Chirewa (13'), Mendez-Laing (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Barrow 1-2 Derby County

While the hosts will be full of confidence after a 4-0 win in their last game, but the visitors boast more quality throughout their squad and should secure a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawDerby County
34.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.004999999999999 0)73.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.01400000000001 0.01)28.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.53%
    Derby County 39.07%
    Draw 26.39%
BarrowDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Fylde
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Derby
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Derby
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3


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