SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chad had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Chad |
64.98% ( -0.12) | 20.39% ( 0.03) | 14.63% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( 0.06) | 45.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.06) | 67.83% ( -0.06) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( -0.02) | 13.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.02% ( -0.03) | 39.98% ( 0.03) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% ( 0.17) | 43.26% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% ( 0.14) | 79.51% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Chad |
| 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.63% |
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