SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Sierra Leone |
71.57% ( 0) | 19.55% ( -0.04) | 8.88% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 34.5% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( 0.26) | 55.5% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( 0.21) | 76.68% ( -0.2) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( 0.09) | 14.35% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( 0.16) | 42.21% ( -0.16) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.28% ( 0.25) | 59.72% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.5% ( 0.13) | 90.51% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 16.63% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 16.15% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 71.56% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.55% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.12% Total : 8.88% |
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