SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 39.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 29.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Sierra Leone |
39.42% ( -0) | 30.6% ( -0) | 29.97% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 39.83% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.54% ( 0) | 67.46% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.42% ( 0) | 85.58% ( -0) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0) | 33.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( -0) | 70.11% |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( 0) | 40.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( 0) | 76.76% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ethiopia | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.35% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.42% | 0-0 @ 13.43% 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.6% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.38% Total : 29.96% |
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