SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Singapore had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Singapore win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Singapore | Draw | China |
35.06% ( -0.65) | 26.91% ( 0.37) | 38.04% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( -1.54) | 54.05% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( -1.3) | 75.48% ( 1.31) |
| Singapore Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( -1.15) | 29.37% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( -1.43) | 65.36% ( 1.44) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.56) | 27.59% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.73) | 63.11% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Singapore | Draw | China |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 38.03% |
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