SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tajikistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tajikistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for China had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Tajikistan |
21.56% ( -0.07) | 24.72% ( -0.02) | 53.71% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( -0) | 52.8% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( -0) | 74.42% |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.08) | 39.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% ( -0.07) | 76.03% ( 0.07) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( 0.03) | 19.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.06) | 51.56% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.56% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.7% |
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