SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | China | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Tajikistan | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | China | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Tajikistan | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for China had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qatar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | China |
50.39% ( -0) | 25.05% ( 0) | 24.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( -0) | 51.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( -0) | 73.1% ( 0) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( -0) | 20.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( -0) | 52.75% ( 0.01) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( 0) | 35.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( 0) | 72.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | China |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.55% |
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