SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Puerto Rico |
13.18% ( 0.05) | 17.26% ( 0.05) | 69.56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.81% ( -0.14) | 34.19% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.92% ( -0.16) | 56.08% ( 0.16) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% ( -0.02) | 38.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( -0.01) | 74.9% ( 0.02) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( -0.06) | 8.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.69% ( -0.14) | 30.31% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Puerto Rico |
| 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.48% 3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.18% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 69.56% |
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