SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
29.32% ( 0.01) | 21.43% | 49.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.06% ( 0.01) | 30.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.68% ( 0.01) | 52.32% ( -0.01) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.01) | 21.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.36% ( 0.02) | 54.64% ( -0.02) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( 0) | 13.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.16% ( -0) | 39.84% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-4 @ 2% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.25% 3-4 @ 1.2% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.25% |
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