SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Elfsborg |
21.96% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( 0.14) | 55.2% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0.57) | 44.61% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( -0.55) | 66.97% ( 0.55) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( -0.29) | 34.34% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( -0.31) | 71.04% ( 0.31) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( -0.26) | 16.03% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( -0.48) | 45.38% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.19% |
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