Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Croatia in this match.
