Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.