SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Belgium | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia | Draw | Ukraine |
45.48% ( 0.05) | 26.07% ( -0) | 28.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% ( -0.02) | 52.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( -0.02) | 74.33% ( 0.02) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( 0.01) | 23.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( 0.02) | 56.96% ( -0.02) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( -0.05) | 33.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( -0.05) | 69.85% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovakia | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.45% |
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