Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Smorgon | Draw | Gomel |
26.99% ( -0) | 26.25% ( -0) | 46.76% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.79% ( 0.02) | 54.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.01) | 75.61% ( -0.01) |
Smorgon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% ( 0.01) | 35.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% ( 0) | 71.95% |
Gomel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% ( 0.01) | 23.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.95% ( 0.02) | 57.04% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Smorgon | Draw | Gomel |
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.99% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.75% |
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