SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
41.4% ( -0.03) | 25.69% ( 0) | 32.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.01) | 49.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.01) | 71.39% ( 0.01) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.02) | 23.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( -0.03) | 57.72% ( 0.03) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.01) | 28.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.02) | 64.17% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.91% |
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