SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Fakel |
57.51% ( -0.17) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 18.09% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.08) | 55.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( 0.06) | 76.78% ( -0.06) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.03) | 19.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.08% ( -0.06) | 50.92% ( 0.06) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.21) | 44.81% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.22% ( 0.17) | 80.78% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.09% |
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