SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Sochi |
39.68% ( -0.14) | 27.57% ( 0.12) | 32.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.44) | 56.96% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( -0.35) | 77.86% ( 0.35) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.29) | 28.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( -0.37) | 63.69% ( 0.37) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.21) | 32.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( -0.23) | 68.85% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.68% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.74% |
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