SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
32.95% ( -0.18) | 26.47% ( -0.04) | 40.57% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.13) | 52.62% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.11) | 74.27% ( -0.11) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( -0.06) | 30.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( -0.07) | 66.13% ( 0.06) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.17) | 25.53% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( 0.24) | 60.38% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.95% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.57% |
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