Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.