Well-rested from their opening-day victory, Norwich will be confident of prevailing for a second time in succession. However, despite lacking the presence of Ward-Prowse, we expect Southampton to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Norwich City
28.42% ( -0.01)	24.86% ( -0)	46.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.15% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

47.69% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11% (

69.89%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-0.01)

30.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09% (

-0.01)

66.91% (

0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

0.01)

20.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

0.01)

52.93% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Southampton 28.42%

Norwich City 46.73%

Draw 24.85%

Southampton	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.42%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.73%