Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
41.42% ( -1.93) | 27.11% ( 0.09) | 31.46% ( 1.84) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( 0.31) | 55.54% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( 0.25) | 76.71% ( -0.26) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.87) | 26.41% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( -1.16) | 61.57% ( 1.16) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 1.51) | 32.51% ( -1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 1.66) | 69.04% ( -1.66) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.46% |
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