SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.28% ( 0.03) | 17.91% ( -0.01) | 14.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0) | 33.43% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( 0) | 55.22% ( -0) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.83% ( 0.01) | 9.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.01) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.02) | 35.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( -0.02) | 72.16% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 4.82% Total : 67.28% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.82% |
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