SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Needham Market |
46.91% ( 0.02) | 25.39% ( -0) | 27.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.01) | 50.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.01) | 72.32% ( -0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( 0.01) | 21.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.02) | 54.53% ( -0.02) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.01) | 32.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.01) | 69.14% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Needham Market |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.7% |
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