Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Rushall Olympic win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
Result | ||
Southport | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
41.1% ( -3.34) | 25.53% ( -0.27) | 33.36% ( 3.6) |
Both teams to score 55.33% ( 2.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.46% ( 2.39) | 48.54% ( -2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.33% ( 2.14) | 70.66% ( -2.15) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( -0.58) | 23.42% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.58% ( -0.85) | 57.42% ( 0.84) |
Rushall Olympic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 3.61) | 27.74% ( -3.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 4.41) | 63.31% ( -4.42) |
Score Analysis |
Southport | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -1.14) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.96) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.37% |
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