SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 90.25%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 2.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 4-0 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (1.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Andorra |
90.25% ( 0.02) | 7.28% ( -0.01) | 2.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.03% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.03) | 27.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.09% ( -0.04) | 47.91% ( 0.04) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.39% ( 0) | 3.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.39% ( -0) | 15.61% ( 0.01) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.34% ( -0.09) | 63.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.59% ( -0.04) | 92.41% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Andorra |
| 3-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 4.28% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 90.24% | 1-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 7.28% | 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 2.47% |
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