SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Spain had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Spain |
42.31% ( 0.12) | 25.67% ( 0.2) | 32.02% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.95) | 49.54% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.86) | 71.56% ( 0.86) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( -0.36) | 23.27% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( -0.52) | 57.19% ( 0.52) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.68) | 29.09% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.84) | 65.01% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.02% |
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