Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belarus in this match.
Result | ||
Belarus | Draw | Andorra |
55.88% ( -2.42) | 23.61% ( 0.73) | 20.5% ( 1.68) |
Both teams to score 50.59% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( -0.78) | 49.62% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( -0.71) | 71.64% ( 0.71) |
Belarus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.41% ( -1.14) | 17.59% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.85% ( -2.01) | 48.15% ( 2.01) |
Andorra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.39% ( 1.37) | 38.61% ( -1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( 1.28) | 75.35% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Belarus | Draw | Andorra |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.5% |
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