SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Belarus | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 6 | Andorra | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Belarus | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 6 | Andorra | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 78.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 6.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (12.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Romania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Romania.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Andorra |
78.82% ( -0.04) | 14.53% ( 0.02) | 6.65% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( 0) | 42.39% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.01) | 64.8% ( -0) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.25% ( -0.01) | 8.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.93% ( -0.02) | 30.07% ( 0.02) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.92% ( 0.06) | 57.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.92% ( 0.03) | 89.08% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Romania | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 78.81% | 1-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 14.53% | 0-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 6.65% |
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