Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Germany Women had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Germany Women win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
