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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Brazil Women had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.25%) and 2-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Brazil Women win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil Women | Draw | Spain Women |
36.28% ( -7.18) | 21.29% ( -0.39) | 42.43% ( 7.57) |
| Both teams to score 71.99% ( 1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.8% ( 2.35) | 27.19% ( -2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.26% ( 2.91) | 47.73% ( -2.91) |
| Brazil Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -1.77) | 16.32% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( -3.31) | 45.9% ( 3.31) |
| Spain Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 4.05) | 13.97% ( -4.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( 7.44) | 41.47% ( -7.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil Women | Draw | Spain Women |
| 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.97) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.91)3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.92)2-0 @ 3.75% ( -1.13)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.87)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.57)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.23)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.48)Other @ 3.59% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 1.01)2-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.68)0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.7)1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.77)2-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.59)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.48)3-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.29)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.4)2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.9% Total : 42.43% |
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