Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.