SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia Women | Draw | Germany Women |
25.93% ( -0.45) | 23.8% ( 0.03) | 50.26% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0.5) | 44.86% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( -0.49) | 67.22% ( 0.49) |
| Zambia Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.61) | 31.07% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.72) | 67.38% ( 0.72) |
| Germany Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.03) | 17.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( -0.06) | 48.72% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia Women | Draw | Germany Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.26% |
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