SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Malmo |
29.21% ( 0.1) | 23.41% ( 0.02) | 47.38% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( -0.01) | 40.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.01) | 63.07% ( 0.01) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.06) | 26.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( 0.08) | 61.74% ( -0.08) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( -0.05) | 17.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.12% ( -0.08) | 47.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.21% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 3.94% Total : 47.38% |
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