SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.64%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
22.37% ( -0.43) | 21.99% ( -0.08) | 55.64% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( -0.15) | 40.26% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( -0.15) | 62.63% ( 0.16) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( -0.45) | 31.53% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( -0.53) | 67.92% ( 0.53) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( 0.11) | 14.38% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.73% ( 0.22) | 42.27% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 22.37% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.64% |
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