SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
32.3% ( -1.58) | 25.87% ( 0.63) | 41.83% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -2.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( -3.14) | 50.3% ( 3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( -2.85) | 72.24% ( 2.85) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -2.53) | 29.28% ( 2.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -3.22) | 65.25% ( 3.22) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.9) | 23.84% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -1.31) | 58.01% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.82% |
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