Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
32.3% (![]() | 25.87% (![]() | 41.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% (![]() | 50.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% (![]() | 72.24% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% (![]() | 29.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% (![]() | 65.25% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% (![]() | 58.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 8.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.82% |
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